Thursday Night Football is here, and that means a massive day of Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) action. Whether you’re building lineups or crafting a parlay, don’t rely on gut feel—lean on advanced metrics like DVOA (Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average) to find sharp edges and outperform the field. Here’s your full DFS breakdown for Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers, highlighting the best player prop predictions and DFS values for tonight’s matchup.

Bengals vs Steelers DFS Predictions

Jalen Warren — Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

Cincinnati’s defense has struggled mightily in this area, ranking 32nd in DVOA vs receiving running backs and allowing 47.1 receiving yards per game to the position. That opens the door for Warren to exceed expectations. Expect Aaron Rodgers to lean on the short passing game, giving Warren one of the most favorable matchups of any Steeler tonight.

Jonnu Smith — Over 14.5 Receiving Yards

Smith faces a Bengals defense that ranks 27th in DVOA vs tight ends. While all eyes are on DK Metcalf, Smith’s matchup gives Rodgers a great secondary option to exploit. Tee Higgins — Under 46.5 Receiving Yards Quarterback inconsistency has limited Higgins this season, and while Joe Flacco brings a bit more stability, this Steelers defense doesn’t offer much relief. Pittsburgh ranks 2nd in DVOA vs WR2s, allowing minimal separation and production to secondary receivers. Even after clearing this number last week against Green Bay, expect Higgins to come back to earth in a much tougher matchup.

Joe Flacco — Under 235.5 Passing Yards

We’ve mentioned how good Pittsburgh’s defense is against WR2s, but they’ve been dominant across the board. The Steelers rank 4th overall in defensive pass DVOA, and have done a great job limiting opposing QBs. Expect a conservative game plan from Cincinnati, keeping Flacco’s ceiling in check.

What Is the Best DFS Prop Pick for Thursday Night Football?

The top DFS prop pick for Steelers vs Bengals is Jalen Warren over 18.5 receiving yards. Warren has been the most efficient Steelers running back and has cleared this number in three of his last four games. He should be involved in the Steelers passing gameplan. 

Final Thoughts: DFS Strategy for Thursday Night Football

Tonight’s Steelers vs Bengals matchup offers several exploitable angles for DFS and parlay players. Using DVOA metrics helps pinpoint where each defense is weakest—whether that’s Warren’s receiving role or Pittsburgh’s dominance against the pass.

Play Smarter with Wanna Parlay

Ready to turn your DFS insights into real winnings? When you sign up with Wanna Parlay and use code WANNA, you’ll get a 100% deposit match up to $250. Build smarter lineups, find sharper edges, and win more with Wanna Parlay.